August 2, 2010

Afghanistan Tops the News

PEJ News Coverage Index July 26-August 1, 2010

The war in Afghanistan—a subject that has generated periodic spikes in media interest but not a high level of sustained coverage—was back atop the mainstream news agenda last week. And this time, the catalyst was neither violence on the ground nor deliberations in Washington, but the leak of about 90,000 classified war reports by a whistleblower website. 

Driven by WikiLeaks’ dissemination of those documents—which highlighted the difficult challenges faced by NATO forces—Afghanistan led the news for the week of July 26-August 1, according to the Pew Research Center’s Project for Excellence in Journalism.  Taken together, coverage of the WikiLeaks saga and the overall war effort combined to fill 19% of the newshole.  

Afghanistan coverage has generally followed a roller coaster trajectory in the past year. It jumped to 9% of the newshole in the last quarter of 2009 when President Obama decided on his surge of 30,000 troops. It then plunged to only 3% in the first five months of 2010. In late June, coverage spiked again when Obama removed General Stanley McChrystal as Afghanistan commander after Rolling Stone published negative comments by him and his staff about the administration.

The WikiLeaks story triggered a renewed debate over the wisdom of U.S. strategy in Afghanistan. But it remains to be seen how long that will keep the war prominent in the headlines.

A number of other events, though, also competed for space last week. Indeed, four of the five media sectors examined in PEJ’s News Coverage Index had different lead stories. The WikiLeaks story led network news, but the economy topped the newspaper and radio sectors, the Gulf oil spill was No. 1 online and immigration was first in the cable sector.

The immigration debate accounted for 13% of last week’s coverage with the big news being a federal judge’s decision to block major elements of Arizona’s controversial new immigration law.  That marks the second highest week of immigration coverage since PEJ began tracking it in January 2007. (The No. 1 week was 16% from April 26-May 2, right after the Arizona measure was signed into law.)

The announced departure of  much-criticized Tony Hayward as CEO of BP helped fuel the continuing coverage of the Gulf oil spill, which filled 12% of the newshole from July 26-August 1—the same level as the previous week.

And the economy accounted for 10% of the week’s coverage, with no particular economic storyline dominating. But it’s fair to say that there was little in last week’s news to contradict the news narrative that the nation’s financial health is still in fragile shape.

WikiLeaks and the War

The WikiLeaks story was the biggest aspect of Afghanistan-related coverage last week and it generated the most attention in the network news sector, at 20% of the airtime studied.

The classified Afghanistan field reports were provided by the three-year old WikiLeaks group—which specializes in unearthing secret information—to three outlets, The New York Times, the British newspaper The Guardian and the German magazine Der Spiegel. Among the key findings was the suggestion, as the Times reported on July 26, that Pakistan, “an ostensible ally of the United States,” allows its intelligence service to aid the Taliban in its fight against the U.S. and the Afghan government.

The story then quickly pivoted to the impact of the leaks on U.S. policy and politics. The next day, the Times noted that the “documents increased pressure on President Obama to defend his war strategy. On Capitol Hill, a leading Senate Democrat said the documents, with their detailed account of a war faring even more poorly than two administrations had portrayed, would intensify Congressional scrutiny of Mr. Obama’s policy.”

On the July 27 NBC newscast, correspondent Andrea Mitchell reported that inside Washington, the big question was “whether this is a game changer” in terms of U.S. war strategy. In the same report, Obama was quoted downplaying the new information, declaring that “these documents don’t reveal any issues that haven’t already informed our public debate on Afghanistan.”

That theme was soon reinforced by some other Washington figures. Appearing on CNN on August 1, Senator John Kerry, chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee, said that, "We knew almost everything that’s there.  It gives a little color to the battlefield struggles and to, you know, some of the difficulties within the villages and so forth. But basically they are an incomplete presentation of the challenge and not particularly game changing."

And a July 29 report in the Los Angeles Times cast some doubt on one of the other explosive suggestions in the documents— the idea that Taliban and its allies may have surface-to-air missiles.

“One of the most eye-catching revelations in a trove of classified documents posted on the Internet this week was that insurgents apparently used a portable heat-seeking surface-to-air missile to shoot down a twin-rotor CH-47 Chinook in Helmand province in May 2007, ” the story stated. “Most experts believe that the antiaircraft threat currently posed by the insurgents is relatively limited, and that they don’t have significant stocks of surface-to-air missiles, at least for now.”

While the Pentagon warned that the documents could put lives at risk in Afghanistan and pressed forward for an investigation into the leak, it was unclear by week’s end whether the classified papers would have any significant impact on the conduct of the war itself.

The Rest of the Week’s News

U.S. District Court Judge Susan Bolton’s July 28 ruling blocking key portions of Arizona’s immigration law—including one mandating a check of immigration status when a person is stopped for other violations—quickly became a hot political topic. The story dominated cable news, where it filled 29% of the airtime studied by PEJ.

And while Bolton’s decision was portrayed as a legal win for the administration that had challenged the Arizona law, the verdict was not necessarily the same when it came to the political implications. During a July 28 appearance on MSNBC’s Rachel Maddow show, Nate Silver—founder of the FiveThirtyEight political website which pays particular attention to polling data and number crunching—saw initial gains for the Republicans.

“Short term, the Arizona law is popular,” he said. “I think this plays more into Republican hands in the short term where voters are concerned about the economy and [it] creates more concerns, especially in border states, about immigration.”

Guest hosting for Bill O’Reilly on Fox News on July 30, Juan Williams wondered if Obama was to blame for the lack of a federal immigration law. Noting that he had promised to make that a priority in his first year, Williams declared: “Well here we are a year and a half [into his term]. No bill, no action. So why aren’t Latino activists demanding answers from the White House instead of protesting in Arizona.”

The oil spill, at 12% of the week’s newshole, continued to make the roster of top stories, although at levels far reduced from its peak coverage. It did register as the No. 1 story in the online sector (19%) and coverage was dominated by a focus on BP and on the departure of Tony Hayward, who became a lightning rod for much of the anger aimed at the oil company.

Indeed, a July 26 story posted on AOL News quoted one Gulf Coast resident—reacting to news that BP might offer Hayward a post in a Russian venture—quipping that "Sending him to Siberia sounds like an appropriate place for him."

Meanwhile, a July 28 Wall Street Journal story looked at BP’s battered finances, reporting on its plans “to sell $30 billion in assets” and replace “its gaffe-prone chief executive” and its promise   “to become a ‘different company’  more focused on safety…For BP, the asset sales and new CEO are an attempt to begin moving beyond a catastrophe that has wiped out nearly 40% of its market value and put a question mark over its future in the U.S.”

Coverage of the economy fell to 10% from July 26-August 1, down significantly from 17% the previous week when extending unemployment benefits and Wall Street reform drove the coverage. Even so, it did end up as the No. 1 story in two sectors last week, newspapers and radio (both at 14%).

Among the developments making news last week was the decision by Bell California city council members to cut their salaries by 90% when a public outcry ensued after the Los Angeles Times reported on number of hefty salaries among public officials there.

Lead Newsmakers

One week after he was overshadowed by Shirley Sherrod—the USDA employee forced to resign following the release of an edited video of her speaking to the NAACP—Barack Obama returned to his usual position as the top newsmaker.

From July 26-August 1, the president and his administration registered as lead newsmaker in 8% of the week’s stories, up from 5% the previous week. (To be a lead newsmaker, a figure must register in at least 50% of a story.)

The No. 2 newsmaker was Democratic Congressman Charles Rangel (New York) who figured in 4% of the stories after the House Ethics Committee charged the former powerful Ways and Means Committee chair with 13 counts of ethics violations.  He was followed by another figure whose recent headlines haven’t been kind, departing BP boss Tony Hayward (3%).

Robert Dudley, the man tapped to replace Hayward at BP was the fourth-leading newsmaker, at 2% of the stories. And coming in as No. 5 was another New York Democratic Congressman, Anthony Weiner (also 2%), who erupted in an attention-getting outburst against Republicans during a debate over a bill that would provide money to pay health costs for 9/11 first responders. Even in a time of increasingly angry political rhetoric, the Congressman’s behavior stood out. “Weiner Goes Ballistic on the House Floor,” declared the headline on the Forbes website.

About the NCI

PEJ’s weekly News Coverage Index examines the news agenda of 52 different outlets from five sectors of the media: print, online, network TV, cable and radio. (See List of Outlets.) The weekly study, which includes some 1,100 stories, is designed to provide news consumers, journalists and researchers with hard data about what stories and topics the media are covering, the trajectories of that media narrative and differences among news platforms. The percentages are based on "newshole," or the space devoted to each subject in print and online and time on radio and TV. (See Our Methodology.) In addition, these reports also include a rundown of the week’s leading newsmakers, a designation given to people who account for at least 50% of a given story.

Mark Jurkowitz of PEJ