War in Gaza Casts Shadow over Transition
PEJ News Coverage Index December 29, 2008 - January 4, 2009
A bloody new chapter in the conflict between Israel and the Palestinians dramatically shifted the news agenda from domestic to foreign crises, dominating media attention in an otherwise crowded week of news.
The Gaza fighting between Israel and Hamas, which escalated from aerial warfare to fierce ground fighting, accounted for 21% of the newshole from Dec. 29-Jan. 4, according to the weekly News Coverage Index from the Pew Research Center’s Project for Excellence in Journalism.
Other than the Iraq war, that made Gaza the second-biggest overseas story for any week during the past two years. Only the brief and one-sided conflict between Georgia and Russia, which filled 26% of the newshole from Aug. 11-17 2008, generated more coverage.
The new spasm of Mideast violence attracted significantly more coverage than the No. 2 story, the economic crisis, which filled 13% of the newshole. Although it had been widely believed that new President Barack Obama’s first priority would be working to mitigate that meltdown, last week’s events raised the possibility that the Gaza bloodshed could pose his most immediate challenge instead.
Indeed, Obama’s response to that conflict—which has thus far been muted—was the biggest theme of the Presidential transition (the week’s No. 4 story at 8% of the newshole).
Sandwiched in between was a political sideshow that presented yet another headache for the President-elect. The fallout from the scandal involving Illinois Governor Rod Blagojevich, which last week focused on his controversial selection of unlikely candidate Roland Burris to replace Obama in the Senate, accounted for 10% of the coverage.
It was a week in which those top four stories all generated significant media attention and accounted for more than half the overall newshole.
War in Gaza
The new fighting between Hamas and Israel—which intensified with air attacks on Dec. 27 and escalated with the Jan. 3 ground invasion—offered no shortage of angles and challenges for the media. Aside from monitoring events on the ground, there are relevant issues of both geopolitics and domestic politics. And then there is the thorny matter, in a conflict that stirs public passions like few others, of examining proportionality and context in a situation where one side is inflicting the overwhelming majority of casualties.
The Dec. 30 Washington Post, for example, was careful to juxtapose front-page photos of a Gaza mother weeping over a daughter killed in an Israeli air strike with the image of an Israeli woman traumatized by a Hamas rocket attack. But the story beneath the photos, about a Gaza family that lost five young girls in the bloodshed, focused on the collateral damage to Palestinians. “Many of the casualties have been civilians who live around targets in the densely populated [Gaza] strip,” it noted.
The subject of internal politics—both within Israel and the U.S.—was intertwined in the media narrative with the timing and conduct of the war itself.
“I think it’s a lot about domestic politics,” said correspondent Martha Raddatz during the Dec. 29 broadcast of ABC’s Good Morning America. Israeli leaders, she noted, were under pressure to act in the face of February elections and Hamas rocket attacks against its citizens. But she also pointed to the U.S. political calendar and uncertainty in Israel about the incoming administration. “George Bush, the Israelis see him as a great friend,” Raddatz said. “ I think the Israelis want to get this taken care of before Barack Obama comes in….he is still an unknown.”
By the end of the week, as Israel sent troops into Gaza and the strategic stakes got higher, the course of the fighting itself moved into the forefront. “The assault brings new risks and the prospect of many new casualties on both sides,” declared the Jan. 4 New York Times story. “While a ground war in densely populated Gaza is likely to increase the civilian toll there, the Israeli Army also faces new threats.”
In a conflict in which images and perceptions go a long way toward shaping world opinion, the media themselves became another front in last week’s battle. A McClatchy story on Yahoo!News, about Israel launching its own wartime YouTube channel quoted an Israeli military spokeswoman saying that in the battle for hearts and minds, "The blogosphere and new media are basically a war zone.”
Israel also found itself embroiled in a fight over access to the battle after its decision to bar reporters from entering Gaza, leaving the press to cover the conflict from the Israeli side of the border. “Journalists have protested the ban as a grave blow to press freedom,” said an Associated Press story.
The events in the Mideast, while still occurring on the watch of George Bush, had a major impact on the media narrative about the new administration—the question of how quickly they realigned Obama’s priorities.
Even though the President-elect maintained virtual silence about the Gaza crisis while continuing to talk about his economic plans, Obama’s response to the war—or lack thereof—generated more coverage than his approach to the economy. And it was the largest element of last week’s transition coverage. (It should be noted that the news that Bill Richardson had withdrawn as Commerce Secretary designate and the appointment of Leon Panetta as CIA director occurred the next week.)
Although there was plenty of commentary and punditry about whether Obama needed to take a more hands-on approach to what was unfolding in Gaza, much of the Mideast-related coverage focused on the reshuffled geopolitical realities he would have soon face.
“The incoming administration had planned to focus on the economic crisis and recalibrating U.S. policy in Iraq and Afghanistan in its early months — but the Israeli assault on Hamas may have instantly changed that calculus,” said a Politico story posted on Yahoo! News on Jan. 2. The story quoted one analyst’s view that, "For all the talk of putting the [Middle East] conflict on the back burner, it’s going force itself onto the front burner.”
The Economic Crisis
Even with the war in Gaza and the impact on the new administration, the economy remained a major focus of the media last week, a frankly somewhat uncharacteristic example of media stick-to-itiveness. The economic crisis was the second-biggest story last week, and the key storylines included an early year rally on Wall Street, broad economic impact, the effect on industry and the effect on average Americans.
At least one bright spot appeared last week with a New Year’s rally in a Stock Market ravaged by a very rough 2008.
An MSNBC.com story posted on New Year’s Eve recounted the carnage. “Investors have panicked, sending the Dow Jones industrial average down more than 5,000 points from its peak in October 2007,” the year end account noted. “As the crisis worsened in the fall, stocks plunged 25 percent in a matter of weeks. The topsy-turvy market endured many days of triple-digit losses, only to swoop back up in fevered, short-lived rallies. Investment portfolios have been decimated, forcing many Americans to put off or drastically rethink retirement plans.”
But the day after New Year’s, a buying spree pushed the Dow Jones over the 9,000-point mark and generated, at least temporarily, some positive economic news and the hope of a better 2009.
“Wall Street opened a new year of trading with a big day,” noted the Fox News Channel’s Jim Angle, with a bit of a lilt in his voice, during a Jan. 2 newscast.
The scandal that just won’t go away—the pay-for-play allegations surrounding Illinois Governor Rod Blagojevich—opened a new chapter last week. After being accused of trying to auction off Obama’s Senate seat, Blagojevich—despite facing an impeachment threat and calls for him to step down—made his choice. And his decision dominated last week’s coverage of the increasingly convoluted saga that exploded into the headlines with the Dec. 9 arrest of Blagojevich.
The governor’s selection of former Illinois State Attorney General Roland Burris—who had run unsuccessful campaigns for governor, senator and mayor of Chicago—created a political version of the movie High Noon at the Capitol. Fellow Democrats moved to block his appointment while Burris made patently clear his intention to travel to D.C. and be seated in the Senate.
The Jan. 1 Los Angeles Times headline captured the general assessment: “Senate has its padlock ready: Neither side is budging on seating Blagojevich pick Roland Burris.”
The story stated that, “This cinematic showdown [which included an option to physically stop Burris] is among an elaborate set of contingencies that Democratic leaders are planning if, as expected, the former Illinois Attorney General appointed by Gov. Rod R. Blagojevich shows up with newly elected senators to press his claim that he is the legitimate replacement for President-elect Barack Obama.” (Burris did come to Washington on Jan. 6, but was not sworn in, suggesting that this drama will continue to play out.)
Newsmakers of the Week
Given the continuing flap over the fate of Obama’s Senate seat, three major principals in that story were the top newsmakers during the week, according to PEJ’s News Coverage Index. Obama was No. 1, followed by Blagojevich. Burris, who emerged from obscurity to suddenly become—possibly—a U.S. Senator, was next. Rounding out the list of top five newsmakers was George Bush, who received a small percentage of the coverage his successor got. And Bernard Madoff, the alleged perpetrator of a massive Ponzi scheme, was No. 5.
The Rest of the Week’s News
Given the coverage of the top four stories last week, there was limited room for much else on the media menu. The No. 5 story was a seasonal perennial, New Year’s celebrations, at 4% of the newshole. Another story driven in large part by traditional year-in-review analyses, a recap of the Presidential election season, was the No. 6 story at 3%.
The bottom half of the top 10 story list included the two wars the U.S. is currently engaged in—Iraq (No. 7 at 2%) and Afghanistan (No. 8 at 2%). The troubled U.S. auto industry, a theme closely related to the economic crisis, was the ninth-biggest story, also at 2%. And rounding out the list was coverage of immigration issues, which finished No. 10 at 1%.
About the NCI
PEJ’s weekly News Coverage Index examines the news agenda of 48 different outlets from five sectors of the media: print, online, network TV, cable and radio. (See List of Outlets.) The weekly study, which includes some 1,300 stories, is designed to provide news consumers, journalists and researchers with hard data about what stories and topics the media are covering, the trajectories of that media narrative and differences among news platforms. The percentages are based on "newshole," or the space devoted to each subject in print and online and time on radio and TV. (See Our Methodology.) In addition, these reports also include a rundown of the week’s leading newsmakers, a designation given to people or institutions who account for at least 50% of a given story.
Changes to the Index for 2009
Each year, PEJ examines the methodology of the Weekly News Index to ensure that both the content studied and the weights applied to each media sector reflect developments in how Americans consume news information. For 2009, PEJ made two adjustments, which went into effect on January 1, 2009. First, we updated the weighting system used to combine the calculations between the different media sectors. In recent surveys conducted by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press the number of people who say they get their news online has increased. Consequently the weight given to online news stories has increased. Second, we increased from 5 to 12 the number of different Web sites included in our weekly coding. For detailed information on our weighting system or list of outlets, see our methodology page.
Mark Jurkowitz of PEJ